Decode · Contract Demand · Coal CPP

₹18 Crore in Wind-Solar Savings, Yet We Advised the MD to Keep Burning Coal

The ₹6.93 vs ₹5.17 contract demand trap: why a cheaper tariff showed negative savings once the grid connection was paid for.

Executive Summary

A chemical company in South India, already at 85.7% renewable energy, ran a 37 MW coal captive power plant at ₹6.93 a unit. A developer offered a Wind-Solar Hybrid at ₹5.17 a unit and showed nearly ₹18 Crore in annual savings. But the plant's 10 MVA grid connection was already full, and delivering another 12 Crore units meant a much higher contract demand: around ₹15 Crore once and around ₹6.3 Crore every year. Once those were counted, the case showed negative savings of around ₹3.96 Crore. The advice was to keep burning coal.

The Mandate: The Last Stretch to 100% Renewable

The company was not starting from zero. It was already at 85.7% renewable energy, and the Managing Director wanted to close the gap.

The remaining load was served by the company's own 37 MW coal captive power plant, at ₹6.93 a unit.

The Illusion: A Cheaper Tariff Looks Like a No-Brainer

A developer offered a Wind-Solar Hybrid solution at ₹5.17 a unit. Against ₹6.93 coal, the proposal showed nearly ₹18 Crore in annual savings.

Cheaper power, cleaner power, and a large number. It looked like the easiest approval of the year.

But a tariff comparison answers one question: what does a unit cost? It does not answer the question a Board has to answer: what does the whole decision cost?

The Reality Check: Three Steps Before the Board

We followed three steps, in order:

  1. Validate the developer's proposal. Could the plant actually procure another 12 Crore units, and was the ₹18 Crore saving real?
  2. Check the contract-demand cost. What would the company pay once, and keep paying every year, to open the grid connection?
  3. Check whether the equity comes back. Would the investment turn positive in any of the next 15 years?

The Forensic Audit: The Grid Pipe Was Already Full

The plant's 10 MVA grid connection was already full. Open Access renewable energy is delivered through the grid, so procuring another 12 Crore units needed a higher sanctioned contract demand, and contract demand is paid for whether or not it is used.

LineFigureWhat it is
Coal CPP running cost₹6.93 / unitThe existing captive plant
Wind-Solar Hybrid tariff₹5.17 / unitThe developer's offer
Projected annual savingnearly ₹18 CroreThe developer's tariff arithmetic
Additional units required12 Crore unitsThe renewable energy the proposal needed
Contract demand, one-timearound ₹15 CroreTo raise the sanctioned demand
Contract demand, recurringaround ₹6.3 Crore / yearPaid every year thereafter
Result after these costsnegative savings of around ₹3.96 CroreThe case as analysed

The numbers in the proposal were real. The saving was not. The tariff comparison was correct; what it left out was the cost of the pipe.

The Verdict: Keep Burning Coal, For Now

With savings negative, the equity would not turn positive in any of the 15 years. Our advice was simple: keep the coal plant running, at least until coal prices rise or the company can procure more renewable energy within its existing contract demand.

That is not an argument against Wind-Solar Hybrid, and it is not a general verdict on coal. It is what this plant's cash flow said, under this plant's grid constraint, at these prices.

Next Steps for the Boardroom

Before approving a switch from a captive plant to Open Access renewable energy:

Frequently Asked Questions

Can a coal captive power plant be cheaper than renewable energy?

In specific conditions, yes. In this case a 37 MW coal CPP at ₹6.93 a unit beat a Wind-Solar Hybrid offer at ₹5.17, because procuring the additional renewable units required a much larger contract demand with the grid, which added a one-time cost of around ₹15 Crore and around ₹6.3 Crore every year.

What is contract demand and why does it affect Open Access savings?

Contract demand is the maximum load a consumer is sanctioned to draw from the grid, and it is paid for whether or not it is used. When a plant's existing contract demand is already full, bringing in more Open Access power means raising it, and those charges must be deducted from the tariff saving before the saving is real.

Why did ₹18 Crore of projected savings turn negative?

The developer's proposal showed nearly ₹18 Crore a year from the tariff difference alone. It did not include the one-time and recurring cost of the higher contract demand needed to deliver another 12 Crore units. Once those were added, the case showed negative savings of around ₹3.96 Crore.

Should a company with a coal CPP switch to renewable energy?

Not automatically. Compare the complete cash flow, including contract demand, against the CPP's running cost. In this case the advice was to keep burning coal until coal prices rise or the company can procure more renewable energy within its existing contract demand.

What should a CFO check in a developer's savings projection?

Three things: whether the plant can physically absorb the additional units, what it costs once and every year to open the grid connection for them, and whether the equity turns positive within the investment horizon.

Sources

  1. Gaurav Kawatra, LinkedIn post, 8 September 2026. www.linkedin.com
  2. Infinia Solar, "₹18 Crore in Wind-Solar Savings, Yet the MD Kept Burning Coal" (video), YouTube, 8 September 2026. www.youtube.com

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Infinia Solar is India’s #1 Corporate & IPP Renewable Energy Advisory. We help large Commercial & Industrial buyers procure the right renewable energy — from the right developers, on the right PPA terms — with every clause decoded before it is signed. We also advise independent power producers on market entry, PPA structuring and exit-ready contracts.

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